Placing Odds on the Yankees

We are slowly inching closer and closer to the beginning of the 2014 season in Major League Baseball and Yankee fans really have one question on their mind: will the YNew York Yankees make the playoffs in 2014?

It’s anybody’s guess. If you look at the Vegas futures right now, both the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox have odds of 12 to 1, which is odd considering the Red Sox just won the World Series and were pretty clearly the best team in the AL last year. If you’re looking to take advantage of those odds, you might consider using the william hill registration bonus to get started.

Should the New York Yankees be put in the same league as the defending World Champion Boston Red Sox? It’s hard to say. Let’s consider some points:

• The loss of Robinson Cano’s huge bat at a defensive position like second base is certainly going to hurt.

• Jacoby Ellsbury, despite being in the same financial discussion as Cano, is not in the some offensive discussion as Cano. One good year with a ton of home runs for Ellsbury three years ago does not eliminate the random injuries or wildly fluctuating production that he brings along. It’s hard to fathom exactly why the Yankees paid Ellsbury as much as they did when a bit more would have kept Cano. It’s either a comment on the Yankees judgement or a window into the unpublished concerns the front office had about Robinson Cano. Yes, they’ve been burned by long contracts before.

• Brian McCann will definitely help offensively, but is he another in a long line of future designated hitters for the Yankees? Either way, he is an upgrade and the pitchers seem to like him.

• Tanaka is a lot of money on a relatively unknown. If he replaces Andy Pettitte’s production, they break even. If he surpasses it, they’ll be thrilled.

Does all of this add up to a winning season with aging players and Derek Jeter aiming for one last healthy turn? Only Father Time will tell.

3 Comments

  1. “It’s hard to fathom exactly why the Yankees paid Ellsbury as much as they did when a bit more would have kept Cano.”

    It’s hard to fathom exactly how anyone with more than a grade school education considers $87 million “a bit more.”

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    1. They grossly overpaid for Ellsbury and in the process raised the price of Brett Gardner. Gardner isn’t quite the hitter that Ellsbury is but Ellsbury isn’t exactly consistent.

      Cano likely was overpaid as well but would have been the better investment. Between Ellsbury and Beltran, the Yankees spent $198 mill to replace Cano who they could have had for $225 mill according to reports. I would have taken Cano at 10/$225 than what they paid for Ellsbury and Beltran.

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  2. “It’s hard to fathom exactly why the Yankees paid Ellsbury as much as they did when a bit more would have kept Cano.”

    It’s hard to fathom exactly why anyone with more than a grade school education considers $87 million “a bit more.”

    Like

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